Marshall vs West Virginia 9/1/2012

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West Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 92% of simulations over Marshall. Geno Smith is averaging 334 passing yards and 2.9 TDs per simulation and Dustin Garrison is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 8% of simulations where Marshall wins, Rakeem Cato averages 1.93 TD passes vs 0.92 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.91 TDs to 1.16 interceptions. Tron Martinez averages 74 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when Marshall wins and 63 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. West Virginia has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WVA -24 --- Over/Under line is 63

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